[Update 9/3/18 - Updated with roster cuts, other transactions, and injuries]
See the Google Sheet (link) below with tabs for different types of scoring models. If your scoring system is missing, please let me know!
Stay tuned to www.MSilbAnalytics.com for week-to-week updates, and follow @MSilb7 and @MSilbAnalytics on Twitter.
New for 2018:
- Individual statistics and actual fantasy point projections rather than a derived "value" metric.
- Statistics are driven by projected possessions dependent on the teams' schemes, and the players' histories.
- Rookies! Approximated by the pre-season, but nevertheless, we have rookies.
See my bold predictions and next steps below the table.
2018 NFL Fantasy Stats Projections Link
[googleapps domain="docs" dir="spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vS-WDrVorTaujfc1K3HO3wigAUknKDnLHmeL_KBnb7SY1tAZWMp77JfUhSQu2OuD8rObBQNrVOdW_Rl/pubhtml" query="widget=true&headers=false" /]
Bold Predictions (in order of boldness):
-
- Sam Bradford will lead the league in passing TDs and be the top scoring fantasy QB
- Yes, this makes me nervous too, but he's rated as the #30 QB by ESPN, so why not grab him in the last few rounds?
- Tom Brady will be the #14 fantasy QB
- You can't fix old.
- Rob Gronkowski falls off, and will be the #11 fantasy TE
- Geoff Swaim (or whoever starts at TE for the Cowboys) will be the #5 fantasy TE.
- Whoever fills the Jason Witten void will be a huge value pick. Witten, who is now retired, was #2 in receptions for the Cowboys last year. If one player fills that void, they will be HUGE.
- Kenyan Drake... actually good?
- The Dolphins fan in me loves this, but Kenyan Drake projects as a top 5 RB in all leagues ahead of names like Ezekiel Elliot and Todd Gurley.
- Larry Fitzgerald will be the top scoring fantasy WR
- Makes for a convenient package with Bradford, ranked the #11 WR by ESPN, so spin him into a good value pick)
- Sam Bradford will lead the league in passing TDs and be the top scoring fantasy QB
Next Steps:
- Integrate Weekly Schedules
- Pull in ESPN/Yahoo/NFL Fantasy Rankings to calculate the difference (and actually measure draft value)
